Prediction: Matt Frevola via TKO<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Both guys have legit power in their hands, both can grapple, and both have that \u201ckill or be killed\u201d style that makes every exchange dangerous. You can look at tape all day and try to find some small edge, but the truth is, this matchup feels like whoever lands first is walking away with the win.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Nelson\u2019s got a little more variety in his striking. He uses kicks better, especially to set up his hands. When he\u2019s mixing it up, he can look really sharp, and his physical strength helps him bully guys in the clinch or when he gets top position. But the downside is his defense. It\u2019s just not there. When he gets tagged clean, he freezes up, and his recovery isn\u2019t great. You can see it in a few of his fights: once he\u2019s hurt, he\u2019s not fighting through it, he\u2019s just trying to survive.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Frevola\u2019s got that same kind of danger to him, but with slightly tighter fundamentals. His footwork is a little more disciplined, he keeps his base set better during exchanges and this helps him land with more power and stay balanced when trading. His wrestling, too, has proven to hold up against higher level competition, and that could give him a small edge if he decides to mix it in. But the thing is, Frevola\u2019s not the type to take the safe route. He\u2019s a brawler at heart, and when the fight starts getting wild, he\u2019s not backing down. That\u2019s what makes him fun to watch, but also unpredictable to bet on.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Technically Frevola has the edge in footwork and wrestling, but that doesn\u2019t mean much in a matchup like this where both guys have questionable defense and heavy hands. It\u2019s not about who\u2019s better. It\u2019s about who lands clean first. That\u2019s why instead of trying to pick a side, the best move here is just betting the under 2.5. Both of these guys hit too hard and get hit too often for this to go the distance.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Prediction: Matt Frevola via TKO Both guys have legit power in their hands, both can grapple, and both have that \u201ckill or be killed\u201d style that makes every exchange dangerous. You can look at tape all day and try to find some small edge, but the truth is, this matchup…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-619","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-ufc-vancouver"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/capmma.com\/cms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/619","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/capmma.com\/cms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/capmma.com\/cms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capmma.com\/cms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capmma.com\/cms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=619"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/capmma.com\/cms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/619\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":620,"href":"https:\/\/capmma.com\/cms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/619\/revisions\/620"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/capmma.com\/cms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=619"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capmma.com\/cms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=619"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capmma.com\/cms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=619"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}