Prediction: Marcus Buchecha via Decision (I’m Betting Buday)<\/p>\n\n\n\n
When the line opened, it made sense why people rushed to Buchecha. World-class jiu jitsu, freak athlete, massive guy who can fold you like laundry on the mat. You have<\/em> to respect what Buchecha brings, especially in the first five minutes. If he gets you down early, it might be over. No one\u2019s denying that.<\/p>\n\n\n\n But after that? This fight can get real close, real fast.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Buchecha hasn\u2019t been in deep waters with someone like Buday yet. His record looks clean, but it\u2019s all been against guys that either folded or got taken down without much of a fight. Buday isn\u2019t that. He\u2019s not flashy, he\u2019s not fast, but he\u2019s big, stubborn, and built for ugly fights. He walks you down, gets chest to chest, and leans on you forcing you to carry his weight. It\u2019s not fun to deal with, and it\u2019s even worse when you realize he\u2019s not going away. That cage pressure, the clinch game, the constant weight\u2014it’s a nightmare for someone like Buchecha who hasn’t proven he can swim when the tide turns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n If this gets out of the first, and Buchecha hasn\u2019t found the neck or a dominant position, things can start to tilt. He\u2019s made a career out of turning fights into grind fests and winning decisions just by making guys hate life in the clinch. And yeah, he\u2019s not elite, but he\u2019s a legit UFC vet who\u2019s used to fighting guys with multiple weapons. Buchecha? He\u2019s got one weapon. It\u2019s a lethal one, no doubt\u2014but at this level, being one-dimensional is a dangerous game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n That\u2019s the whole point here. Buchecha probably wins, and I\u2019m not mad at anyone picking him. But to be a 2 to 1 favorite over a big, durable, pressure-heavy heavyweight who\u2019s not even near washed? That\u2019s too much. The line has swung too far off potential. Buday at +170 is a live dog because he\u2019s not easy to take down, not easy to control, and he\u2019s not afraid of making this ugly.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Prediction: Marcus Buchecha via Decision (I’m Betting Buday) When the line opened, it made sense why people rushed to Buchecha. World-class jiu jitsu, freak athlete, massive guy who can fold you like laundry on the mat. You have to respect what Buchecha brings, especially in the first five minutes. If…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-402","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/capmma.com\/cms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/402","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/capmma.com\/cms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/capmma.com\/cms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capmma.com\/cms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capmma.com\/cms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=402"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/capmma.com\/cms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/402\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/capmma.com\/cms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=402"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capmma.com\/cms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=402"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capmma.com\/cms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=402"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}