Prediction: Renato Moicano via Decision
Moicano is all about technique and composure. He doesn’t bring chaos—he brings clarity. On the feet, he’s basic but effective. Clean jab, strong fundamentals, and he doesn’t waste much. He picks his shots with patience, keeps things tight, and never throws himself out of position. He’s not flashy—but that’s what makes him dangerous. It’s the kind of striking that chips away at you, breaks rhythm, and sets up the real threat: his jiu-jitsu.
And once this hits the mat, it’s a completely different game. Moicano isn’t just another black belt—he’s suffocating. His takedowns are slick and smart, built more on body manipulation and off-balancing than brute force. Trips, sneaky entries, little shifts in momentum that put you on your back before you realize what happened. And when he’s on top? Good luck. He uses weight distribution like a backpack full of bricks, locking legs down and riding position with pressure that makes you feel like you can’t breathe.
He doesn’t rush subs, either. He transitions smoothly, flows from one threat to the next, landing damage while constantly forcing you to defend. The moment you give up something small, he makes it huge. That top game is a nightmare—if he gets there, he can take over quickly.
But here’s where things get tricky. Beneil Dariush is chaos incarnate. He’s that car crash fighter. Wild, awkward, aggressive, and unpredictable. He swings from weird angles, throws everything with full commitment, and keeps coming forward even when he’s hurt. And that’s what makes him dangerous in a fight like this—he doesn’t give you the room to be perfect.
And Moicano needs to be perfect.
Because as technical and skilled as he is, he’s also had these weird lapses. He’ll have full control of a fight, and then out of nowhere, he gives up a big shot or a wild scramble. And for a second, it looks like he’s about to get folded. It’s not every fight—but it happens enough to matter. Against Dariush, those moments could cost him everything. You don’t give Beneil daylight. That’s when he turns fights into pure madness and either wins them or forces you to survive.
That’s the tightrope Moicano has to walk. Stay clean, stay smart, pick Dariush apart, take him down calmly—and once it’s on the mat, smother him. Don’t get greedy, don’t force things, just work. If he stays locked in for three rounds, Moicano can absolutely win this. His skills are sharper, his path is clearer, and his top game can shut Dariush down completely.