Prediction: Raul Rosas Jr. via Decision
Rosas is still a developing fighter, particularly in the striking department, but he continues to show steady improvement. While his stand-up is still raw, his ability to use it effectively enough to set up his grappling is what makes him so dangerous.
Morales is a well-rounded veteran with solid striking, respectable takedown defense, and a good overall understanding of the game. However, he’s going to have major issues dealing with Rosas’ relentless and suffocating grappling. Rosas is not just a strong grappler—his ability to chain takedown attempts, maintain control, and transition smoothly on the ground makes him a nightmare matchup for anyone without elite-level defensive grappling.
What makes Rosas even more dangerous is how “sticky” he is when he gets his hands on an opponent. Unlike some grapplers who struggle to hold dominant positions or allow space for opponents to work back to their feet, Rosas is constantly applying pressure, hunting for submissions, and maintaining control. If Morales gives up his back or makes a mistake in a scramble, Rosas will capitalize quickly.
Unless Morales can somehow keep the fight standing and consistently land hard shots to deter Rosas, it’s hard to see a path for him to win. Rosas’ ability to dictate the fight through his elite Jiu-Jitsu and relentless takedown attempts should be the deciding factor, making him the rightful side in this matchup.