Prediction: Seok Hyeon Ko via Decision
Ko is all about rhythm and misdirection. His footwork is some of the cleanest you’ll see from a newcomer; he stays light, constantly changing angles, and uses feints not just to draw reactions but to manipulate his opponent’s defensive reads. He throws in combination and never stays stationary long enough for his opponent to reset. That’s what makes him dangerous. His pace is relentless, and what really separates him from other movement heavy fighters is his ability to blend his wrestling seamlessly into those patterns. He’s not just bouncing around to look busy. He uses it to time level changes or chain clinch entries into scrambles, where he’s usually one step ahead.
The problem is that his defense relies almost entirely on his footwork and head movement — not an actual guard. When opponents can trap him or catch him circling the wrong way, that chin becomes available. It’s not that he’s easy to hit, it’s that when he does get hit, he tends to get caught clean because he’s not blocking. And Phil Rowe is not the kind of guy you want to give clean looks to.
Rowe’s biggest weapon is that straight right hand, and he throws it with sniper-level precision. He’s got a ridiculous 80-inch reach for a welterweight, and when he extends on that right, it lands like a piston. Rowe’s striking accuracy sits around 48%, but what makes that number more meaningful is how damaging those connects are — seven of his ten career wins have come by knockout, and most of them were the result of that right hand either setting up or directly landing the finish. He’s not a high volume striker, but he doesn’t need to be. He times entries, waits for opponents to overcommit, and punishes them with clean, technical counters.
Ko’s movement and volume will likely give him the early edge. He’s the busier fighter, and if he can keep Rowe backing up, he’ll be able to pile on strikes and mix in takedowns to steal rounds. Rowe’s takedown defense has always been a bit shaky and he’s been controlled before by fighters with much less dynamic movement than Ko. If Ko can get him reacting to feints and threaten level changes, he could frustrate Rowe. The concern, though, is that Rowe doesn’t need much space or time to land something fight-changing. Even in fights he was losing, Rowe found his moment and ended things instantly with that right hand.