Michal Oleksiejczuk vs Sedriques Dumas

Prediction: Michal Oleksiejczuk via TKO

Oleksiejczuk doesn’t waste time feeling things out—he comes forward immediately, cutting off the cage and forcing his opponents into exchanges where he can capitalize. Dumas, on the other hand, is most comfortable when he has space to work at range. He likes to pick his shots from the outside, but that style falls apart when someone consistently stays in his face like Michal does.

One of Dumas’ biggest flaws is his habit of dipping his head whenever opponents close the distance. Instead of circling out or framing properly, he instinctively tries to push his opponent away with extended arms. That kind of defense doesn’t make opponents hesitate or reset—it just leaves him open for counters, especially against someone like Michal, who thrives in close-range chaos. Michal is the type of fighter who will see that tendency and exploit it over and over again, ripping shots to the body and head while Dumas scrambles to reset.

Unless Dumas chooses to wrestle, this should be an easy night for Michal. The one glaring weakness in Michal’s game has always been his defensive grappling. If opponents have the ability to take him down and control him, they usually take that route. Dumas does have some wrestling in his arsenal, but it’s not something he commits to often. If he’s stubborn about striking with Michal, he’s going to get walked down and overwhelmed quickly. His only real path to victory is to lean on his grappling early and go for the finish, but if he hesitates or allows Michal to dictate the pace, it’s only a matter of time before he gets broken under the pressure.

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