Prediction: Ketlen Vieira via Decision
Dumont will absolutely have the edge in hand speed and footwork . She moves well for the division, cutting angles and using lateral movement to offset slower opponents. She lands at a 50% striking accuracy rate, which is solid, and she understands how to stick and move. The issue for Dumont has always been what happens when her opponent refuses to chase her and instead pressures intelligently, which is exactly what Vieira does best. Vieira isn’t a reckless pressure fighter; she’s patient, constantly closing distance with small steps, forcing her opponent toward the fence, and when they get within striking range, she opens up with sharp, heavy combinations.
Vieira has the kind of measured aggression that makes fighters like Dumont uncomfortable. Dumont thrives when she’s able to dictate tempo and pick her shots — once you take that comfort away and make her fight moving backward, her volume drops. In her last few outings, she’s averaged only about 3.2 significant strikes landed per minute while absorbing nearly the same amount, and that’s mostly because she slows her output to focus on counters. Vieira is low volume, but with far heavier impact. She’s also the physically stronger woman here.
The grappling is the biggest X-factor.Vieira, has legitimate judo and Brazilian jiu-jitsu credentials and has taken down nearly every opponent she’s committed to grappling against. Her top pressure is serious. She doesn’t need to chase submissions to win rounds, she just keeps heavy control, chips away with ground strikes, and forces opponents to make mistakes.
On the feet, Dumont’s speed could make things interesting early, but Vieira’s power advantage will show quickly. Vieira’s shots carry real weight, even when she doesn’t land clean, she forces opponents to reset. Dumont’s willingness to exchange will keep her in the fight, but that same willingness means she’s going to stand in the pocket longer than she should, and that’s where Vieira can land the more damaging combinations. Vieira’s patience, power, and grappling threat will keep Dumont from ever getting comfortable enough to outpoint her.