Prediction: Toss Up – Best Bet: Under 1.5 (-200)
Teixeira being the favorite is understandable—he’s younger, longer, and actually fights like he knows how to use that reach. He comes out hot, firing early, aggressive, and looking to get you out of there before the first few exchanges are even done. Dude’s not playing the long game—he’s trying to end your night ASAP.
But here’s the thing: Teixeira is all gas, no guard. His offense is clean, but his defense? Practically nonexistent. He’s wide open, upright, and doesn’t seem too interested in protecting himself once he starts throwing. That’s a huge gamble when you’re standing in front of someone like Derrick Lewis. Because even if Lewis is older and not as explosive as he once was, the power is still absolutely real. One clean shot from him, and it doesn’t matter what kind of momentum you had—fight’s over.
Both guys can absolutely finish the other. Teixeira’s gonna start fast, and if he catches Lewis cold, this could be done in 60 seconds. But if he comes in too reckless, that chin’s gonna get tested real quick. That’s why the best move here isn’t picking a side—it’s riding with the under 1.5 at -200. Way safer than trusting either moneyline in a chaos-heavy matchup. Someone’s going down early, and it’s just a matter of who lands first.