Stephen Thompson vs Gabriel Bonfim

Prediction: Gabriel Bonfim via Decision

Wonderboy has consistently struggled with—strong, committed grapplers. Bonfim’s got the edge on the ground, no doubt. His takedowns aren’t just brute-force—they’re timed well, chained together smoothly, and once he gets position, his control and submission threat are legit. If he comes in with the mindset to wrestle early and often, that’s the clearest path to victory.

But let’s not get it twisted—on the feet, Wonderboy has way more tools. He’s not just throwing hands. He fights like a problem set—kicks from every angle, constant movement, elite distance management, and the ability to dart in and out before you can even react. That karate base lets him create space like almost nobody else, and when he’s in rhythm, it’s hard to get anything going against him on the feet.

Bonfim’s boxing is still something to respect though. He’s got sharp combos, targets the body and head seamlessly, and knows how to pressure in a calculated way. He’s not reckless. If anyone’s going to give Wonderboy some issues with hands alone, it’s someone like Bonfim who doesn’t just headhunt and mixes up his entries.

But the key is discipline. If Bonfim comes in trying to prove a point on the feet, that’s where it all unravels. Thompson will pick him apart, frustrate him, and start banking rounds. But if Bonfim sticks to what works—uses the boxing to set up takedowns and leans on his grappling from the jump—he’s got a real shot to win a close decision. Wonderboy’s always had trouble with strong guys who can chain wrestle and keep him grounded, and Bonfim has exactly that kind of game if he stays locked in.

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