Prediction: Gillian Robertson Rd 3 Submission
Gillian Robertson vs Marina Rodriguez is a textbook striker vs grappler matchup, but with the kind of nuance that makes it far more interesting than just “can she get the takedown or not.” While Rodriguez is clearly the more refined and dangerous striker, the way she approaches her standup game actually opens up the very path Robertson needs to win this fight. And with the way Robertson’s been evolving, especially her improved composure and setups on the feet, this is a fight she can absolutely win through her jiu jitsu alone—she just needs the right entries, and Rodriguez is the kind of opponent that gives those away.
Rodriguez is a high-output striker with sharp elbows, nasty knees, and one of the better Muay Thai arsenals in the division when she’s allowed to dictate range. But she’s also extremely linear. She comes forward with little defensive variance, doesn’t throw many feints, and tends to plant her feet too long after exchanges, which makes her very open to reactive takedowns. That’s been the consistent hole in her game—her takedown defense and lack of wrestling awareness. She gets caught admiring her work or trying to build momentum, and the more she throws, the easier it is to time her. Against someone like Robertson, that’s a recipe for problems.
What makes Robertson dangerous here isn’t just her elite jiu jitsu—it’s the fact that she’s become more comfortable setting up her entries. In her last fight, she showed that her striking, while still a work in progress, has improved just enough to keep her from being one-dimensional. She’s not panicking for takedowns anymore. She’s willing to throw hands, even if it’s just to back her opponent up or keep them honest. That willingness to engage on the feet is key, because it creates the unpredictability she needs to close distance safely. She’s started using better head movement, more feints, and is actually blending her striking into her grappling rather than just diving for legs from range.
Once it hits the mat, Robertson becomes a different problem entirely. Her top game is suffocating—she doesn’t rush, she doesn’t give space, and she advances position with real purpose. She’s one of the strongest grapplers in the division not just because of technique, but because of how methodical she is. She rides hips, traps arms, and gives her opponents very little breathing room. Rodriguez, who has struggled off her back in past fights, would be in survival mode the second she hits the canvas. And Robertson’s ability to chain submissions and ride out control time makes it incredibly difficult to get back into a round once you’ve lost top position to her.