Prediction: Cortavious Romious via Submission
Cortavious Romious is being undervalued in this matchup, and recency bias is likely playing a major role in the betting line. While Romious has a wild, power-reliant striking style that can look sloppy at times, his grappling and submission game are undeniably strong. That’s the key factor here, because Chang Ho Lee’s entire approach plays right into Romious’ biggest strengths.
Lee is a pressure fighter who looks to wear his opponents down over time. He moves forward constantly, forcing engagements, and relies on his ability to break opponents with volume and conditioning. That’s a solid approach against fighters who struggle under forward pressure—but against Romious, it’s a recipe for disaster. Lee’s aggression will put him right into Romious’ world, where he’ll either get countered by a power shot or, more likely, get taken down and put in bad spots on the mat.
Lee has shown clear vulnerabilities to takedowns, and that’s a major red flag in this fight. Romious has a strong top game and heavy pressure once he gets position. He’s not just a control grappler—he actively hunts for submissions, and when opponents make mistakes, he capitalizes quickly. If Lee gets taken down, he’s going to struggle to get back up, and if he gets reckless in scrambles, Romious has the skill to snatch a submission.
On the feet, Romious can be unpredictable, but his power is a real threat. While Lee may have better technical striking, he’s hittable due to his aggressive style, and if he walks into something big early, it could change the entire dynamic of the fight. More importantly, the striking exchanges will serve as an entry point for Romious to get the fight where he wants it—on the mat.