Prediction: Kevin Borjas via TKO
Ronaldo Rodriguez vs. Kevin Borjas is a fight where the value is on Borjas at the underdog price (+145). Rodriguez’s biggest attribute is his durability and relentless nature—he’s the type of fighter who can take a shot, keep coming forward, and push the pace late when his opponents start to fade. So far, this has worked in his favor, as his ability to absorb damage and continue pressing has led to opponents tiring themselves out trying to put him away. However, in this fight, that approach may not be enough to get the job done.
Rodriguez doesn’t bring enough sustained pressure or volume to make Borjas uncomfortable. Borjas is a patient fighter who thrives when given space and time to react, and Rodriguez’s style plays right into that. Instead of overwhelming opponents with constant activity, Rodriguez looks for moments to push the pace when the fight naturally slows down. Against a fighter like Borjas, who is an excellent counterstriker with near-perfect timing on his opponent’s entries, that’s a recipe for disaster.
Borjas is not just patient; he is precise. He doesn’t need reckless aggression to capitalize on openings—he simply waits for his opponent to make mistakes and punishes them with sharp counters. Rodriguez is at a clear speed disadvantage here, and with little footwork or head movement to evade incoming shots, he’s essentially a sitting target for Borjas to land clean, damaging counters.
The longer this fight plays out, the more Borjas will be able to pick his shots and accumulate damage on Rodriguez. Unless Rodriguez finds a way to break Borjas with sheer pressure (which he hasn’t shown enough of in previous fights), he is likely to take too much damage early and struggle to mount a comeback. Given Borjas’ counterstriking, speed advantage, and ability to control the pace, he holds strong value as the underdog in this matchup.